Thursday, March 19, 2015
Just How Much Separation Really Exists Between Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State? (Part II)
Links: A. Conflict Between Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State.
B. Are Al-Qaeda and the Islamic State at War?
I believe that Yemen and Iraq, and possibly locations in Pakistan and Africa, are currently being utilized as training locations for the IS foot soldier. Intelligence services have already located a number of locations in Iraq which are suspected of being training centers of IS, but I believe that Yemen should be added to the list. Those who disagree with me with point out that AQ already uses Yemen as a "breaking-in" location for its members. No doubt AQ continues to conduct certain types of training in Yemen, alongside the IS. In fact, I believe that they are one and the same. We will know soon enough. Eventually a few IS prisoners of war from the Iraq and Syria conflict will, during interrogation, mention travel to Yemen for training purposes. If I'm correct, hopefully this will be the catalyst for the west to stop the damaging and wasteful routine of differentiating between these Sunni Muslim extremist groups. I do not buy into the narrative that the leader of Khorasan is angry at al-Baghdadi, so the IS and Khorasan can't be friends, or that AQ is embarrassed by the number of young men who were decapitated by IS this week, so AQ can't be tainted by association. Believe me, at the end of the day, that AK47 will be pointed at you and I and our children, it will not be pointed at another extremist. I might be a bit more sympathetic to the argument that major rifts exist between various Sunni Muslim extremist groups, if I could be presented with hard evidence. Social media captures aren't worth a bucket of shit, and neither are rumors that someone from one group shot up a few people from another group.
Islamic extremism is a giant of a beast, but at present, it has only one head, and that is Ayman al-Zawahiri. Beneath that head, a number of phalanges are jockeying, positioning themselves to move into the void once the sixty-three year old Zawahiri finally floats off to meet his virgins (we might just find him as well). For anyone who argues that these groups are not fighting together with a unique, singular goal in mind, I would ask them to please have look at the state of affairs in the world today. I cannot recall a time in my life when terrorism was so rampant and so conventional. Our military is handicapped by an Administration made up of political appointees and outright amateurs, and every move we make is reactive. Not surprisingly, the same can be said for our efforts and strategy in the Ukraine. When IS originally became aggressive in Iraq, our attempt at being an ally resulted in an entire Iraqi Army Corps deserting the field of battle, and people scurrying out of Baghdad as if it were Atlanta before Sherman came to town. The Iranians step in, and IS appears to be in retreat. The case is different in Syria, which is almost impossible to evaluate effectively. The IS (and AQ) are active in Tunisia, Libya, and various other countries in Africa. Its interesting to note that the Nigerian terrorist group Boko Haram recently declared its allegiance to the IS. Well guess what folks; Boko Haram has already declared its loyalty to AQ. Really, what is the difference? Both groups are working in the same arena towards the same goal: the destruction of the west and Israel. You can put all that Caliphate bullshit into the backseat. No doubt Mr. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi envisions himself as the Caliph in such a manifestation, but Zawahiri sees it for what it is: just another story in a sea of distractions, that keep the infidels from unifying their aim at the singular target.
Labels:
Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi,
Al-Qaeda,
AQ,
Ayman al-Zawahiri,
Baghdad,
Boko Haram,
Caliphate,
Iran,
Iraq,
IS,
Islamic State,
Khorasan,
Libya,
Syria,
Tunisia,
Ukraine,
Yemen
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