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Friday, May 25, 2018

Voter in District 21 Will Not Be Fooled By Faux-Conservative Kopser

Link: Roy, Kopser Win Runoffs

Now that the two parties have slogged their way through the runoff elections, voters in Congressional District 21 should have no difficulty deciding which candidate most reflects their values and concerns.  On the Republican side, Chip Roy and his team have run a near-flawless campaign since last December, and at this stage, it would be unwise to expect any kind of major stumble.  Roy has succeeded without being overly confrontational, which is important when running against other Republicans, and he benefits from his ability to convince voters that he not part of the "swamp" establishment.  Forget the narrative the mainstream media has been pushing- District 21 remains a deeply red, conservative seat, and with Chip Roy on the ballot, the odds heavily favor a comfortable GOP victory. 

Before the primaries decided the runoff candidates, Democrats were giddy about the existence of a massive "blue tsunami" which would be the precursor to a Democratic sweep in November.  Not only did Republican voters come out more aggressively in the primary, they also out-voted Democrats in the runoff by roughly 10,000 votes.  Democrats in DC must have breathed a huge sigh of relief when faux-conservative candidate Joseph Kopser won the primary over the self-described progressive, far-left Mary Wilson, who somehow managed to come in first in the Democratic primary.  I imagine Kopser was obliged to spend some of that fortune he's raised that we've heard so much about.  For many voters, Kopser remains a bit of an enigma.  Fortunately, it shouldn't be difficult to discover what Kosper is all about by asking the following questions:

Do you support President Trump?

Do you support ending Sanctuary Communities?

Where do you stand on the NRA and the 2nd Amendment?

If Kopser answers any of these questions in the positive he will alienate his Democratic base. If he shines up his blue bona fides by talking about impeachment and the rights of non-citizens, he will have no hope of bleeding off any of the roughly 16,000 GOP voters who supported Roy's runoff opponent.  Kopser finds himself in this difficult situation for the simple fact that District 21 remains solidly conservative.  In order to stage an upset victory, Kopser must find a way to discredit Chip Roy.  You can take it to the bank that he will attempt to label Roy as an establishment candidate.  Kopser will claim that the support Roy receives from Senator Ted Cruz and a number of other beltway Republicans is clear evidence that Roy is part of the swamp.  That argument failed in the runoff, and it will fall flat once again.  Nothing about Chip Roy indicates establishment sympathies, and he's previously never run for office.

Kopser is one of a handful of former military personnel who have decided to run for elected office as Democrats.  Its true that Kopser is a graduate of West Point and was awarded the Bronze Star for meritorious service; he has my gratitude and respect for his sacrifice.  The fact remains, though, that active duty and retired military personnel constitute a very dependable GOP voter bloc, and Kopser's experiences won't impact that reality.

Irrespective of my confidence in Chip Roy's candidacy, I won't be taking anything for granted in this election.  Its not just about winning, folks.  Its about sending a message to DC and to the progressive left that Texas is growing more red by the day.  I will be working to get Chip Roy elected to Congress, and I hope you will join me.